Bayesian Analysis of Neutrinos from SN1987A [lg article] by T. Loredo

By T. Loredo

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Note that the marginal posterior based on the exponential cooling model peaks at positive mν¯e , even though the joint posterior based on that model peaks at mν¯e = 0. 3 listed in Table VII. These differences between the joint distributions and their marginals are further examples of the phenomenon discussed in Sec. VII (see the discussion of Figure 3). There is somewhat more allowed volume in the parameter space for slightly positive values of mν¯e , and the integration yielding the marginal for mν¯e accounts for this, increasing the marginal density for mν¯e in that region.

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